FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

Having voters (and politicians) who have “crossed over” is a convention convention. It’s compelling! Our side is so righteous, even the “other guys” are starting to see it.

Julia Azari

In response to what Nate and Nathaniel mentioned about how giving the RNC speech from the White House will play for the president, I’m reminded of what we know about public opinion on things that are overtly “political” — people have tended to put more trust in institutions like the military and the Supreme Court than those that reflect lots of messy political back-and-forth, like Congress. People are a little suspicious of the political game and perhaps prefer to keep some institutions separate from that. If this is still true in these polarized times, that might shape public reaction to tonight’s convention speech.

Micah Cohen

Now we’re seeing the Trump campaign’s answer to that oft-played “Republicans for Biden” video.


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