FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

Senator Ernst is locked in a surprisingly tough re-election bid, so it’s especially noteworthy how she positions herself relative to President Trump.

Nate Silver

Again, it’s a bit weird that you have a segment on the Iowa derecho without any reference to the hurricane that’s about to hit Louisiana and Texas.

Geoffrey Skelley

Meredith, that makes sense, given the demographics of veterans. They tend to be disproportionately male (men are more likely to vote Republican), and they’re also somewhat whiter than the country as a whole (white voters are more likely to vote Republican than people of color).


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