FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

I would note that three of the last four GOP conventions occurred amidst a major hurricane. Gustav in 2008 prompted a lot of changes to the schedule, and Isaac in 2012 caused Republicans to shorten their convention to three days.

Dan Hopkins

Blackburn, it’s worth remembering, won her Senate seat with surprising ease against former Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen in 2018.

Geoffrey Skelley

Minnesota is a state that has usually leaned just a bit to the left of the country in recent elections, but it voted just to the right of it in 2016 when Hillary Clinton narrowly won it. There’s still a long way to go, but the polls there so far have actually shown a race that’s a bit closer that you might expect, and that it might vote a bit to the right once again in 2020. In an article today, we took a look at how much more Democratic or Republican the battleground states have been since 2000, so here’s the Minnesota chart:


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