FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Minnesota is a state that has usually leaned just a bit to the left of the country in recent elections, but it voted just to the right of it in 2016 when Hillary Clinton narrowly won it. There’s still a long way to go, but the polls there so far have actually shown a race that’s a bit closer that you might expect, and that it might vote a bit to the right once again in 2020. In an article today, we took a look at how much more Democratic or Republican the battleground states have been since 2000, so here’s the Minnesota chart:

Dan Hopkins

One thing I’m curious about — do attacks on generic leftists (like what we’re hearing from Sen. Marsha Blackburn right now) have the same effect as attacks on the Biden-Harris ticket or elected Democrats?

Dan Hopkins

And we now hear from a logger from Minnesota. Conventions can sometimes feel like an endless series of shout-outs to swing states. But this is a clear signal that Minnesota is now a swing state.


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