FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Yeah Dan, and that’s just a huge challenge for Trump’s campaign. Make the challenger own all the things happening while your party is in the White House.

Dan Hopkins

A typical incumbent strategy is to point to how things are going well — but here, by pointing to violence in cities, Noem is trying to thread a more uncommon needle, pointing to events on the GOP’s watch while trying to blame local Democrats.

Geoffrey Skelley

Noem points out that America has sometimes failed to live up to its ideals, and references a time when a young Abraham Lincoln raised concerns over an unruly mob he witnessed. But she uses this as a segue to say that protests and unrest in cities like Portland are an example of what “radical” “Democrat-led” policies will lead to.


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