FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

That’s such a good point, Nate. And the GOP has to address the situation in Kenosha, in particular, tonight, right? It’s just that the message of the last two days has centered so much on how the Republican Party is the party of diversity, and now there is reporting from Buzzfeed that the alleged shooter was at a Trump rally earlier this year. I just don’t see how they don’t address it head-on and early, especially as it’s part of their pivot. What do others think?

Micah Cohen

A personal update: I’m live-blogging tonight from my parents’ house in suburban Philadelphia — Bucks County, in fact, a crucial swing region in a crucial swing state. That’s important not because I’ll be relaying any important intel on the mood in this political battleground, but because my dad is hitting me with rapid-fire questions about everything that comes across the TV — the news, commercials … everything.

So if I seem a little distracted, please have patience. I’m trying to.

Nate Silver

To state the completely obvious … tonight, more so than other nights, could reflect what happens when a lot of segments are taped ahead of time as part of a mostly-virtual convention. The GOP runs the risk of looking non-responsive if they aren’t talking about Hurricane Laura, the situation in Kenosha, and so forth.


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