FiveThirtyEight
Matt Grossmann

This matches Trump Jr.’s speech in 2016, which again seemed to match conventional Republican talking points more than the other children’s speeches. He has also pursued the traditional up-and-coming conservative route since then, writing books titled “Liberal Privilege” and “Triggered” to appeal to the Fox News audience.

Nathaniel Rakich

A recent, way-too-early poll of the 2024 Republican primary for president gave Pence 31 percent, Trump Jr. 17 percent, Haley 11 percent, Mitt Romney 9 percent and Ted Cruz 8 percent.

Nate Silver

I generally think the “Trump kids have a bright future in politics” claim is overrated, but I don’t have the energy in me for the longform version of that argument tonight.


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