FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

One fundamental problem for Sanders remains his inability to win over self-identified Democrats. It was a problem for him in 2016, too, and it’s not clear that he’s improved on that front. Take Missouri: the preliminary exit poll has Biden leading Sanders by 30 points among Democrats and Sanders ahead by 20 points among independents. But two-thirds of the electorate identified as Democratic versus less than one-third as independent. You have to win among Democrats to win a Democratic primary.


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