FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

A quick note on reporting on exit polls just after polls close: There’s some tension in that because we’re not supposed to report about how candidates are doing among different groups before the state is called — and yet the states that get called immediately tend to be somewhat less interesting (and less representative of the race as a whole) than those that take a while. This is compounded tonight by the fact that Michigan doesn’t actually have representative exit polls, due to a sampling error in the telephone survey of the early and absentee vote. So the biggest prize of the night is the one we currently have the least information on, which is … frustrating.


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