What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

There’s an added wrinkle in Michigan. Since the state has vastly expanded absentee voting this year, we don’t know the mix of absentee versus early votes, either in terms of who did better in each vote or in what order they’re being reported. The results so far are clearly good for Biden in that they’re what you’d expect if Biden wins, although they’re not great for him (i.e. probably not a 25-point blowout). But an absentee versus election day voting gap means there’s more uncertainty there than you might think.