FiveThirtyEight
Clare Malone

Here’s a question, since it’s going to be a boring night for us minus Michigan: Will a strong Biden win in Michigan give us any hints about what states could be in play come the general? I’m thinking, of course, about the way that states tend to vote in regionally cohesive ways. I.e., could Wisconsin and Ohio be more fertile ground in the general if we see a big Biden win? Or, should we go with the boring but oh-so-FiveThirtyEight answer of “primaries are very particular.”


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