FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Yeah, Micah, and even then, you could chalk it up to, “Oh, Sanders just does really well in the West.”

Micah Cohen

It matters. Of course it does. But it would take some stunning numbers out of Washington to change our understanding of the race.

Nathaniel Rakich

Nate, I think the cake is baked. Michigan was the big prize in terms of delegates. Maybe we’d have to reassess if Sanders wins Washington by an unexpectedly huge margin — say, by a margin larger than Biden’s in Michigan? But even then, Michigan is worth more delegates, and Biden’s regional strength in the Midwest (where there are other big states yet to vote) is intangibly valuable.


Exit mobile version