FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

So here’s a question: If Biden is the presumptive nominee after tonight and next week, what does that mean for younger voters who have consistently broken for Sanders? Could voters between the ages of 18 and 29 be a weakness in Biden’s coalition moving forward?

Nate Silver

Meanwhile, Sanders’s margin is down to 6.7 percent in California, which is still slowly … very slowly … counting its vote. His margin was about 9 percent on election night, but late returns, which reflect Biden’s post-Super Tuesday surge, have been comparatively better for Biden.

Nathaniel Rakich

Counties don’t vote (people do), but I think this is telling: Right now, Sanders is leading in only four Michigan counties: Washtenaw (Ann Arbor), Kalamazoo, Kent (Grand Rapids) and Grand Traverse (Traverse City). In 2016, he won all but 10 counties. That support across rural Michigan has just evaporated.


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