FiveThirtyEight
Aaron Bycoffe

While Michigan has been called for Biden, Sanders is still likely to pick up a decent share of the state’s 125 delegates. Based on partial results in 10 of Michigan’s 14 congressional districts (accounting for 52 delegates — plus 43 awarded based on statewide results), Biden would get 55 delegates and Sanders would get 40.

Nate Silver

And Sanders is actually in a bit of danger of failing to hit the 15 percent delegate threshold in Mississippi. He’s at 14 percent so far in Edison’s results, and 15 percent in Decision Desk HQ’s.

Nate Silver

Biden is winning every county in Missouri so far, a state where the vote typically varies A LOT by county. His coalition is really quite robust across urban, rural and suburban areas.


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