FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Biden’s strong performance in rural Michigan, especially in northern Michigan and the Upper Peninsula, bodes well for how he’ll do in North Dakota.

Nate Silver

I don’t know if that’s a great take, Micah. My guess is that Biden will underperform his polling average in Michigan. But exit polls have him overperforming it in Mississippi. And the combination of polls and results so far is pretty consistent with the polls in Missouri.

Micah Cohen

It’s still very early, but it kinda feels like we’re heading towards a night in which Biden mops up largely as expected but Sanders overperforms his polls … or is it too soon to say?


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