What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

Nate Silver

The other wild card in Michigan is Detroit’s Wayne County. Decision Desk HQ has Biden up only 8 points there, which is less than Clinton’s 22-point win. But the Detroit parts of Wayne County are vastly different from the non-Detroit parts, and we don’t know where that vote is from.

Perry Bacon Jr.

8:49 pm

Clyburn, a Biden booster, was on NPR tonight suggesting that a big Biden night should result in the DNC not having any more debates (presumably after the one on Sunday).

Rep. Clyburn on NPR just now: "I think when the night is over, Joe Biden will be the prohibitive favorite to win the Democratic nomination… If the night ends the way it has begun" it's time to "shut this primary down," meaning the DNC should "step in" and cancel future debates.
— Miles Parks (@MilesParks) March 11, 2020

Geoffrey Skelley

8:48 pm

One fundamental problem for Sanders remains his inability to win over self-identified Democrats. It was a problem for him in 2016, too, and it’s not clear that he’s improved on that front. Take Missouri: the preliminary exit poll has Biden leading Sanders by 30 points among Democrats and Sanders ahead by 20 points among independents. But two-thirds of the electorate identified as Democratic versus less than one-third as independent. You have to win among Democrats to win a Democratic primary.

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