What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

So the early returns aren’t great for Sanders — most notably in Michigan …

IF Biden does pretty much wrap up the nomination in the next couple weeks, do people think Sanders would drop out? Or would he keep fight until the end a la 2016?

Sanders’s electability argument was also always one about the general election — that he was actually better positioned to bring back disillusioned Trump voters to the Democratic Party because he, Sanders, was able to speak credibly to that sense of disillusionment as an outsider, etc.

A quick note on reporting on exit polls just after polls close: There’s some tension in that because we’re not supposed to report about how candidates are doing among different groups before the state is called — and yet the states that get called immediately tend to be somewhat less interesting (and less representative of the race as a whole) than those that take a while. This is compounded tonight by the fact that Michigan doesn’t actually have representative exit polls, due to a sampling error in the telephone survey of the early and absentee vote. So the biggest prize of the night is the one we currently have the least information on, which is … frustrating.