What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

Decision Desk HQ has Biden up 72-27 in Missouri, a much bigger lead than exit polls implied. It’s only about 15,000 votes, though. Still, it seems clear that rural parts of the Midwest favor Biden, after mostly having favored Sanders in 2016.

Yeah, I’m on the page as Geoffrey regarding reading too much into primaries. Even impressive turnouts, like Nevada where nearly 75,000 Democrats turned out to caucus, that’s still such a small fraction: Nevada has 610,000 active registered Democrats.

You heard arguments from Sanders supporters in 2016 after Clinton lost the general that were along the lines of “Sanders won those Midwest states in the primary. He could have won them in the general.” As Micah said, we don’t exactly buy that argument, but there has to be something to having the base of the party excited about you. Like if Sanders won this primary, you’d have to think he would do worse in Mississippi against Trump than Biden would have done. Does that make any sense?