FiveThirtyEight
Perry Bacon Jr.

Mississippi is one of six states (Alabama, Georgia, Louisiana, Maryland, South Carolina) plus D.C. where the Democratic primary electorate is likely to be majority or plurality black. So Biden has at least three more big wins coming: Georgia on March 24, Louisiana on April 4 and Maryland on April 28.

Laura Bronner

It’s notable that Mississippi is such favorable territory for Biden that he even won voters under 45, 51 percent to Sanders’s 45 percent. (Of course, he won voters over 45 by a landslide — 86 percent to Sanders’s 12 percent.)

And Mississippi is an old electorate — just 26 percent of voters were under 45. (In fact, there were so few under-30-year-olds — 8 percent — that the results aren’t even broken out by candidate.)

Nate Silver

Biden also up 10 points so far with a decent number of votes counted in Macomb County, per Decision Desk, which went for Clinton by just a little over 1 point last time.


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