What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

Sanders is leading by 5 points per Decision Desk in Kent County, Michigan, home to Grand Rapids. But that was one of Sanders’s better counties last time, as it went for him by about 25 points.

Oakland County, Michigan, is a well-to-do county in suburban Detroit — the kind of place you’d have expected Buttigieg or Klobuchar to do well. Biden winning it is yet another sign that he has inherited the college-educated white vote in this primary. (See also: Biden winning affluent suburbs of Boston last week.)

At 8 p.m. Eastern, most of the polls in Michigan closed (although some counties in the Upper Peninsula will continue voting until 9 p.m. Eastern). As of this morning, Biden had a greater than 99 in 100 chance of winning the state. He is forecasted to get 59 percent of the vote and Sanders 35 percent, on average. We expect Sanders to do better than that across most of the state, but Biden should rack up huge margins in Detroit, which falls predominantly in the 13th and 14th districts. Here’s our forecast by congressional district: