FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

In Mississippi, roughly two-thirds of the electorate was black in today’s primary, according to the preliminary exit poll. And black voters went for Biden 84 percent to 13 percent over Sanders. Not remotely close. And that’s exactly right, Nate — it’ll be interesting to see if Sanders falls short of the 15 percent delegate mark in Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District, which is about two-thirds black. He didn’t reach it there in 2016.

Nate Silver

A question to watch in Mississippi is whether Sanders clears the 15 percent threshold to receive statewide delegates. Pre-election polls and the exit poll seem to suggest that he probably will, although it’s close enough to keep an eye on.

Aaron Bycoffe

In Missouri, 68 national convention delegates are at stake based on the results of today’s primary (44 based on the results in the state’s eight congressional districts and 24 based on the statewide vote). At the time of polls closing, ABC News awarded 13 to Biden and five to Sanders; all of those are statewide delegates. ABC has also awarded eight of Mississippi’s 13 statewide delegates to Biden. Mississippi also has 23 delegates that will be allocated based on the results in the state’s four congressional districts. Candidates must get at least 15 percent of the vote to be eligible for delegates.


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