What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries
What Previous Exit Polls Tell Us About Mississippi Voters
Mississippi is one of six states in the U.S. where the Democratic electorate is either majority or plurality black. In 2016, black voters made up 71 percent of the state’s Democratic electorate, while the share of white voters fell from 48 percent in 2008 to 24 percent eight years later.
Between 2008 and 2016, there was also an increase in the share of college-educated voters (35 percent to 43 percent) and the share of voters identified as very liberal (15 percent to 27 percent). Whether these trends continue may affect Sanders’s performance at the margins, but Biden is an overwhelming favorite, according to our primary forecast.
Who voted in past Mississippi primaries?
Share of Mississippi primary voters by demographic group and year in past presidential election cycles
| Race | 2004 | 2008 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|
| White | 40% | 48% | 24% |
| Black | 56 | 50 | 71 |
| Hispanic/Latino | 3 | — | 1 |
| Asian | 0 | — | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| age | 2004 | 2008 | 2016 |
| 17-29 | 7% | 14% | 15% |
| 30-44 | 20 | 25 | 25 |
| 45-64 | 42 | 44 | 40 |
| 65+ | 31 | 17 | 20 |
| education | 2004 | 2008 | 2016 |
| College degree | 34% | 35% | 43% |
| No college degree | 66 | 65 | 57 |
| ideology | 2004 | 2008 | 2016 |
| Very liberal | 16% | 15% | 27% |
| Somewhat liberal | 28 | 21 | 24 |
| Moderate | 41 | 39 | 40 |
| Conservative | 15 | 24 | 10 |
| party | 2004 | 2008 | 2016 |
| Democrat | 85% | 71% | 86% |
| Independent/Other | 9 | 17 | 13 |
| Republican | 6 | 12 | 2 |
Both FiveThirtyEight and The Bachelor franchise are housed under ABC, so this is what you call SYNERGY.
1) Neither. 2) See one.