What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

Well, it’s almost 8 p.m. and I have two main questions heading into tonight, the second one kinda dependent on the first. 1) Will Peter propose to Hannah Ann, Madison or neither on tonight’s season finale of The Bachelor? and 2) If it’s Madison, will she say yes?

Biden’s surest bet of the night may be Mississippi, where our forecast gives him better than a 99 in 100 chance of winning the most votes. Based on our model’s average forecasted vote share, Biden is on pace to win more than 60 percent of the vote statewide and in each of Mississippi’s four congressional districts. Here is the breakdown for Biden and Sanders in each district:

Biden appears to have a lock on Mississippi

Average forecasted vote share for the top two Democratic presidential candidates in Mississippi congressional districts, according to the FiveThirtyEight model as of 9 a.m. on March 10

District	Biden	Sanders
MS-01	64%	27%
MS-02	70	20
MS-03	66	25
MS-04	63	28
State	67	24

Going back to Sarah’s question about the impact of rally cancellations — Sanders tends to have big rallies on college campuses. And while he doesn’t really seem to be delivering on his promise of high youth turnout this year, I have to believe those rallies are helpful for getting students excited about voting, and also giving them information about how they can vote. At Sanders’s rally at the University of Michigan on Sunday, one of the speakers went into the mechanics of how to register and vote in pretty specific detail.