What Went Down In Michigan, Washington And Other Democratic Primaries

Speaking of rally cancellations, we were chattering about that a bit earlier today. How much would it matter if the campaigns — including Trump — had to cancel their rallies? Does it change the dynamics of an election a lot? Or not really?

A lot of things affect turnout in primaries. Lower turnout later on in the process could also be true if the race stops looking competitive, for example. I think it’ll be hard to isolate the effect of coronavirus.

I’m also curious to see how Washington’s primary runs, since coronavirus has still been an issue for election administration — election officials were, for example, warning voters not to lick their envelopes. Of course, we have no idea how long the coronavirus outbreak will last, but it could be a good test case for how to handle an election during a public health crisis of this magnitude.