FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Clearer and clearer signs that turnout is going to be really down in Illinois.

Nathaniel Rakich

Sanders is currently leading the early vote in just one Illinois county: Champaign, which (as Kaleigh mentioned earlier) is home to the state’s largest university, the University of Illinois.

Nathaniel Rakich

With 10 percent of the expected vote reporting in Illinois, Biden leads 57 percent to 37 percent. The margin he’s trying to “beat” is 26 points — that’s how much our forecast had him up, on average.


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