What Went Down In The Arizona, Florida And Illinois Primaries

Yeah, tonight makes it seem fairly clear that this primary isn’t as competitive as the 2016 Democratic contest. Sanders was able to fight on in 2016 in part because he got some unexpected wins, like in Michigan, and kept it close in mid-March contests like Missouri and Illinois. Then he won Wisconsin in early April and could keep going. I think he might well be able to compete in Alaska, Hawaii and Wyoming on April 4 — he did win the party-run event in North Dakota, after all — but is that worth sticking around if he’s going to get beaten badly in the bigger primary contests? I don’t think he’s winning Wisconsin this time around.

So does that mean the only incentive for Sanders to drop out now is if he does so poorly that Biden can basically start to ignore him?

Amelia, the coronavirus is a good point and theoretically something that could reset the Democratic primary race. But polls suggest that voters trust Biden more to handle a national crisis!