FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Sarah, I think Sanders is just running an ideas campaign at this point. His campaign team can do the math — Biden is on a glide slope to the nomination. The best (and only?) reason for Sanders to stay in at this point is to keep his progressive policies in the discussion and move Biden further left (which, in fairness, seems to be working. Granted, there are extenuating circumstances with the coronavirus, but Sanders isn’t even going through the motions of a typical campaign. Instead of a concession speech tonight, he just delivered a 20-minute progressive State of the Union.

Nate Silver

We’ll see what happens in Arizona, I guess, Sarah, but I think the question now isn’t so much whether Sanders has a real shot to win but what is best for his movement. It would not seem like taking a bunch of 20-and 30-point losses would improve its credibility.

Sarah Frostenson

So if tonight proves to be a rout for Biden as we saw in Florida (ABC News still hasn’t made a projection in Illinois but the AP already called it for Biden), where does that leave Sanders? As Kaleigh mentioned earlier, Sanders needs to meet a certain threshold tonight to stay in the race, right? Because otherwise, won’t there be a lot of pressure for him to drop out? Or does he have other reasons to stay in?


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