What Went Down In The Arizona, Florida And Illinois Primaries

According to the not-an-exit phone poll in Florida, about a third of voters made up their minds this month. And Biden’s lead over Sanders is much larger among those later deciders (73-22) than among people who decided before March (54-34), reflecting the growing consolidation behind Biden.

With a touch over 1.6 million votes now in from Florida, that means that a little more than 10 percent of the voting-eligible population in the state has participated in the Democratic primary. In 2016, that figure was just shy of 12 percent. If the Democratic vote gets up to around 1.8 million, it’ll be roughly equal with the 2016 turnout level. Remember that Florida is a closed primary state, so you have to be a registered Democrat to vote in it. Though, an independent or Republican could have switched party registration to vote in it. Some voters might have done that given that the Republican contest is uncompetitive.

ABC News projects that with the Illinois projected win, Trump has reached the delegate threshold and is now the GOP’s presumptive nominee.