FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

We’re Watching The Women Running — And Winning — In Today’s Races

We’ve been tracking how women fare in the 2022 primaries, and tonight there are a couple potential “firsts” on the ballot.

Depending on how its Republican primary goes, Idaho might elect its first-ever female governor. Incumbent Gov. Brad Little is facing a primary challenge from his right — the state’s lieutenant governor, Janice McGeachin. McGeachin made national headlines last year when Little left the state and, as acting governor, McGeachin issued executive orders rescinding mask mandates and COVID-19 vaccine requirements. (Little later repealed the orders.) Although by most accounts Little is a staunch conservative, it is McGeachin who won Trump’s endorsement.

Still, ousting an incumbent remains a tall order, and a poll conducted last month by Zoldak Research for the Idaho Dispatch found Little ahead of McGeachin by 31 percentage points. But regardless of who wins the Republican primary tonight, McGeachin or Little will likely go on to easily win the general election. Idaho is a deep-red state, and even though it has seen an influx of new residents over the past several years, there is little evidence that the new residents are any less conservative than the current ones.

Here’s a look at all the female candidates running in GOP primaries:

How Republican women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Republican primaries in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania, as of 6:46 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Brenda Bourn ID Sen. 0% 0.0%
Natalie M. Fleming ID Sen. 0 0.0
Ashley Jackson ID Gov. 0 0.0
Lisa Marie ID Gov. 0 0.0
Janice McGeachin ID Gov. 0 0.0
Valerie “Dr Val” Fredrick KY Sen. 4 3.9 Trailing
Tami L. Stainfield KY Sen. 4 3.0 Trailing
Rhonda Palazzo KY-03 4 31.8 Leading
Claire Wirth KY-04 0 13.3 Trailing
Alyssa Dara McDowell KY-04 0 5.8 Trailing
Jeannette Andrews KY-05 2 3.9 Trailing
Marjorie K. Eastman NC Sen. 0 0.0
Lichia Sibhatu NC Sen. 0 0.0
Debora Tshiovo NC Sen. 0 0.0
Jen Banwart NC Sen. 0 0.0
Lee A. Brian NC Sen. 0 0.0
Sandy Smith NC-01 0 0.0
Adina Safta NC-02 0 0.0
Christine E. Villaverde NC-02 0 0.0
Courtney Geels NC-04 0 0.0
Virginia Foxx* NC-05 0 0.0
Mary Ann Contogiannis NC-06 0 0.0
Laura Pichardo NC-06 0 0.0
Jen Bucardo NC-09 0 0.0
Wendy Marie-Limbaugh Nevarez NC-11 0 0.0
Kristie Sluder NC-11 0 0.0
Michele V. Woodhouse NC-11 0 0.0
Nalini Joseph NC-12 0 0.0
Kelly Kathleen Daughtry NC-13 0 0.0
Renee Ellmers NC-13 0 0.0
Jessica Morel NC-13 0 0.0
Jo Rae Perkins OR Sen. 0 0.0
Bridget Barton OR Gov. 0 0.0
Christine Drazan OR Gov. 0 0.0
Jessica Gomez OR Gov. 0 0.0
Kerry McQuisten OR Gov. 0 0.0
Amber R. Richardson OR Gov. 0 0.0
Katherine M. Gallant OR-02 0 0.0
Joanna Harbour OR-03 0 0.0
Lori Chavez-DeRemer OR-05 0 0.0
Madison Oatman OR-05 0 0.0
Laurel L. Roses OR-05 0 0.0
Angela Plowhead OR-06 0 0.0
Amy L. Ryan Courser OR-06 0 0.0
Kathy Barnette PA Sen. 0 0.0
Carla Sands PA Sen. 0 0.0
Melissa Hart PA Gov. 0 0.0
Regina Mauro PA-06 0 0.0
Lisa Scheller PA-07 0 0.0
Kathy Coder PA-17 0 0.0

*Incumbent.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News

Over in North Carolina, 35 percent of the Democratic primary candidates are women. There are several who have a good chance of winning the nomination and a seat in November, too, such as former state Sen. Erica Smith in the 1st District and either state Sen. Valerie Foushee or Durham County Commissioner Nida Allam in the 4th District. Both of these races are competitive primaries for open seats that feature a more establishment Democrat and a more progressive Democratic. (I am also tracking progressives’ success today, so these two races are high on my radar!)

In the 1st District, Smith has the backing of progressive groups Sunrise Movement and the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, but she will need to get by Air Force veteran and former mayor Don Davis, who has the support from retiring Rep. G.K. Butterfield. The race in North Carolina’s 4th District, meanwhile, not only features two women but also pits a more establishment Democrat (Foushee) against a progressive (Allam) (in addition to a former “American Idol,” Clay Aiken). Allam has the endorsement of Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sunrise Movement, while Foushee has been endorsed by EMILY’s List.

Speaking of EMILY’s List, the pro-choice PAC with a mission to back female candidates early, the group has endorsed five non-incumbent Democratic women in today’s contests — Foushee, Cheri Beasley in North Carolina’s Senate race, Summer Lee in Pennsylvania’s 12th District, Val Hoyle in Oregon’s 4th District and Tina Kotek for the governor’s race in Oregon. I’ll be tracking these candidates, and more, throughout the night. Here is the full rundown of women running in Democratic races:

How Democratic women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Democratic primaries in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania, as of 6:46 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Kaylee Peterson ID-01 0% 0.0%
Wendy Norman ID-02 0 0.0
Ruth Gao KY Sen. 4 4.5 Trailing
Attica Scott KY-03 8 33.7 Trailing
Alyssia Hammond NC Sen. 0 0.0
Constance “Lov” Johnson NC Sen. 0 0.0
Cheri Beasley NC Sen. 0 0.0
Chrelle Booker NC Sen. 0 0.0
Erica D. Smith NC-01 0 0.0
Barbara D. Gaskins NC-03 0 0.0
Crystal Cavalier NC-04 0 0.0
Valerie P. Foushee NC-04 0 0.0
Ashley Ward NC-04 0 0.0
Nida Allam NC-04 0 0.0
Yushonda Midgette NC-07 0 0.0
Pam Genant NC-10 0 0.0
Katie Dean NC-11 0 0.0
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara NC-11 0 0.0
Alma S. Adams* NC-12 0 0.0
Jamie Campbell Bowles NC-13 0 0.0
Tina Kotek OR Gov. 0 0.0
Keisha Lanell Merchant OR Gov. 0 0.0
Genevieve Wilson OR Gov. 0 0.0
Suzanne Bonamici* OR-01 0 0.0
Doyle E. Canning OR-04 0 0.0
Val Hoyle OR-04 0 0.0
Jamie McLeod-Skinner OR-05 0 0.0
Teresa Alonso Leon OR-06 0 0.0
Kathleen Harder OR-06 0 0.0
Andrea Salinas OR-06 0 0.0
Loretta Smith OR-06 0 0.0
Alex Khalil PA Sen. 0 0.0
Ashley Ehasz PA-01 0 0.0
Alexandra Hunt PA-03 0 0.0
Madeleine Dean* PA-04 0 0.0
Mary Gay Scanlon* PA-05 0 0.0
Chrissy Houlahan* PA-06 0 0.0
Susan Wild* PA-07 0 0.0
Amanda R. Waldman PA-09 0 0.0
Shamaine Daniels PA-10 0 0.0
Summer Lee PA-12 0 0.0

*Incumbent.

Rep. Kathy Manning, who is seeking reelection in North Carolina’s 6th Congressional District, is running uncontested so her primary has been canceled.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News


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