What Went Down During The May 17 Primary Elections

And in Oregon’s 5th District, the incumbent, Schrader, trails progressive challenger McLeod-Skinner by 22 points, 61 percent to 39 percent. But we expect that margin to shrink as we still have almost no ballots from Schrader’s home base in Clackamas County.

In the 2018 primary, about 37,000 voters cast ballots in the Democratic primary were from there, so if Schrader can win a large share of those votes (and turnout remains as high), he might be able to catch up. However, the small number of votes we do have from Clackamas have only broken for Schrader by 14 points, so if that continues it wouldn’t be enough for him to win.

Meanwhile overnight, things got significantly better for primary challenger Labrador in Idaho’s attorney general race. Labrador now leads Wasden 51 percent to 39 percent in the race with 94 percent of the expected vote in, so it sure seems like Idaho is about to get a much more aggressive attorney general.

As for secretary of state, McGrane now leads Moon just 44 percent to 41 percent, with Souza at 15 percent. McGrane is the only candidate in the race who has said the 2020 election was legitimate, so a majority of votes have now been cast for election deniers in these two races.

Not much has changed since your late-night crew signed off in the wee hours. The marquee race of the night, the Pennsylvania GOP Senate primary, remains too close to call.

As of 7:24 a.m., TV personality and physician Mehmet Oz holds a lead of roughly 2,500 votes over former hedge fund executive David McCormick, with both candidates sitting right at about 31 percent of the vote. (Despite having had a last minute surge in the polls, right-wing commentator and author Kathy Barnette sits in third place at 25 percent.)

With about 98 percent of the expected vote in so far, the outstanding vote has shrunk from late last night, so we’ll be poring over in greater detail where the vote is still outstanding in just a bit. It’s not clear when we’ll have a call — it could be awhile yet — and remember, should the race end up with a margin inside of 0.5 points, state law will mandate an automatic recount.

As for the other big outstanding races — the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District, the Republican primaries in Pennsylvania’s 6th and 7th districts, Oregon’s crowded Republican primary for governor, Oregon’s 5th District and Idaho’s Republican primaries for attorney general and secretary of state — not much has changed from last night; all remain too close to call, so I’ll encourage you to look at our more detailed post from Nathaniel, Jacob and Geoffrey late last night on the state of play, including some of our key takeaways at this point.

A note that we’ll continue to update the liveblog today as we get results.