FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

In North Carolina’s 1st District, AP has called the GOP primary for Sandy Smith, who ran for this seat unsuccessfully in 2020. (ABC News has yet to call the race.) She’s the candidate Republican leadership wanted to avoid given her personal baggage, and she’ll start as an underdog in the Democratic-leaning district against state Sen. Don Davis, who won his primary convincingly tonight.

That means Trump-endorsed candidates went 23 for 26 tonight — or perhaps 24, if Oz manages to pull through in Pennsylvania. Not a perfect night for Trump like the Texas primaries, but he can still take credit for a couple dozen wins. And in a few races — Hines and Mastriano among them — Trump’s endorsement could have very well been what made the difference.

How Trump’s endorsees are doing tonight

Senate, House and gubernatorial candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump and their results in Republican primaries in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania, as of 11:40 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Mike Crapo* ID Sen. 4% 69.6% ✓ Won
Janice McGeachin ID Gov. 5 21.6 Trailing
Russ Fulcher* ID-01 2 100.0 ✓ Won
Rand Paul* KY Sen. 99 86.1 ✓ Won
James Comer* KY-01 0 0.0 ✓ Won
S. Brett Guthrie* KY-02 99 78.0 ✓ Won
Thomas Massie* KY-04 99 75.2 ✓ Won
Harold “Hal” Rogers* KY-05 99 82.4 ✓ Won
Andy Barr* KY-06 74 87.8 ✓ Won
Ted Budd NC Sen. 89 58.6 ✓ Won
Greg Murphy* NC-03 68 75.7 ✓ Won
Virginia Foxx* NC-05 78 76.6 ✓ Won
David Rouzer* NC-07 68 79.2 ✓ Won
Richard Hudson* NC-09 69 79.2 ✓ Won
Patrick McHenry* NC-10 70 68.1 ✓ Won
Madison Cawthorn* NC-11 95 31.9 ✗ Lost
Bo Hines NC-13 99 32.1 ✓ Won
Mehmet Oz PA Sen. 86 31.1 Trailing
Doug Mastriano PA Gov. 83 45.4 ✓ Won
Jim Bognet PA-08 90 68.8 ✓ Won
Scott Perry* PA-10 68 100.0 ✓ Won
Lloyd K. Smucker* PA-11 75 100.0 ✓ Won
John Joyce* PA-13 75 100.0 ✓ Won
Guy Reschenthaler* PA-14 84 100.0 ✓ Won
Mike Kelly* PA-16 91 100.0 ✓ Won

*Incumbent.

Rep. Dan Bishop, who is seeking reelection in North Carolina’s 8th Congressional District, is running uncontested so his primary has been canceled.

Sources: DonaldJTrump.com, news reports, ABC News

Nathaniel Rakich

If Lee ends up losing, though, she can always go back to her career in the state House.


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