FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

I’ve been watching how women are doing in tonight’s primaries. Among Democrats it’s a mixed bag for non-incumbent women. But non-incumbent candidates endorsed by EMILY’s List are doing really well. Cheri Beasley won her primary in North Carolina’s Senate race, and Valerie Foushee won in North Carolina’s 4th District. And we are watching the nail-biter in Pennsylvania’s 12th, where Summer Lee is up by a handful of votes with 98 percent of precincts reporting. EMILY’s List also endorsed two women in Oregon (Val Hoyle and Tina Kotek), where we don’t have any results yet.

How Democratic women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Democratic primaries in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania, as of 10:58 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Kaylee Peterson ID-01 0% 0.0%
Wendy Norman ID-02 0 0.0
Ruth Gao KY Sen. 99 6.2 ✗ Lost
Attica Scott KY-03 99 36.5 ✗ Lost
Cheri Beasley NC Sen. 86 81.0 ✓ Won
Alyssia Hammond NC Sen. 86 3.4 ✗ Lost
Constance “Lov” Johnson NC Sen. 86 2.0 ✗ Lost
Chrelle Booker NC Sen. 86 1.6 ✗ Lost
Erica D. Smith NC-01 99 31.1 ✗ Lost
Barbara D. Gaskins NC-03 56 80.4 ✓ Won
Valerie P. Foushee NC-04 84 46.1 ✓ Won
Nida Allam NC-04 84 36.9 ✗ Lost
Ashley Ward NC-04 84 5.4 ✗ Lost
Crystal Cavalier NC-04 84 1.3 ✗ Lost
Yushonda Midgette NC-07 67 16.1 Trailing
Pam Genant NC-10 45 77.4 ✓ Won
Jasmine Beach-Ferrara NC-11 67 59.7 ✓ Won
Katie Dean NC-11 67 25.7 ✗ Lost
Alma S. Adams* NC-12 59 91.6 ✓ Won
Jamie Campbell Bowles NC-13 48 9.4 ✗ Lost
Tina Kotek OR Gov. 0 0.0
Keisha Lanell Merchant OR Gov. 0 0.0
Genevieve Wilson OR Gov. 0 0.0
Suzanne Bonamici* OR-01 0 0.0
Doyle E. Canning OR-04 0 0.0
Val Hoyle OR-04 0 0.0
Jamie McLeod-Skinner OR-05 0 0.0
Teresa Alonso Leon OR-06 0 0.0
Kathleen Harder OR-06 0 0.0
Andrea Salinas OR-06 0 0.0
Loretta Smith OR-06 0 0.0
Alex Khalil PA Sen. 78 4.1 ✗ Lost
Ashley Ehasz PA-01 57 100.0 ✓ Won
Alexandra Hunt PA-03 57 18.5 ✗ Lost
Madeleine Dean* PA-04 42 100.0 ✓ Won
Mary Gay Scanlon* PA-05 36 100.0 ✓ Won
Chrissy Houlahan* PA-06 64 100.0 ✓ Won
Susan Wild* PA-07 85 100.0 ✓ Won
Amanda R. Waldman PA-09 99 100.0 ✓ Won
Shamaine Daniels PA-10 86 49.0 Trailing
Summer Lee PA-12 99 41.8 Leading

*Incumbent.

Rep. Kathy Manning, who is seeking reelection in North Carolina’s 6th Congressional District, is running uncontested so her primary has been canceled.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News

Kaleigh Rogers

With 76 percent of expected votes reporting, the GOP race in North Carolina’s 1st Congressional District is still too close to call. Sandy Smith, who, as I mentioned earlier, attended the Jan. 6 rally, is leading with 30.7 percent of the vote, with Sandy Roberson trailing at 26.1 percent. Here’s how the other Big Lie believing candidates are faring so far:


How Big Lie supporters are doing tonight

Senate, House and gubernatorial candidates who have either denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election, and their results in Republican primaries in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania, as of 10:57 p.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE Big Lie Position % REPORTING VOTE SHARE STATUS
Brenda Bourn ID Sen. ❓Raised doubts 0% 0.0%
Edward R. Humphreys ID Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Brad Little* ID Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Lisa Marie ID Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Janice McGeachin ID Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Cody Usabel ID Gov. ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Russ Fulcher* ID-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Daniel Algiers Lucas Levy ID-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Bryan Smith ID-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Valerie “Dr Val” Fredrick KY Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 3.7 ✗ Lost
Tami L. Stainfield KY Sen. ❓Raised doubts 99 2.5 ✗ Lost
John Schiess KY Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 1.4 ✗ Lost
E. Lee Watts KY-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 17.9 ✗ Lost
Daniel Cobble KY-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 67 4.7 Trailing
Claire Wirth KY-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 15.7 ✗ Lost
Alyssa Dara McDowell KY-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 5.2 ✗ Lost
Harold “Hal” Rogers* KY-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 82.4 ✓ Won
Jeannette Andrews KY-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 99 4.5 ✗ Lost
Derek Petteys KY-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 74 12.2 ✗ Lost
David Flaherty NC Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 0.9 ✗ Lost
Kenneth Harper, Jr. NC Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 0.9 ✗ Lost
Benjamin E. Griffiths NC Sen. ❓Raised doubts 86 0.4 ✗ Lost
Leonard L. Bryant NC Sen. ❓Raised doubts 86 0.4 ✗ Lost
Drew Bulecza NC Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 86 0.3 ✗ Lost
Sandy Smith NC-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 76 30.7 Leading
Sandy Roberson NC-01 ❓Raised doubts 76 26.1 Trailing
Brent Roberson NC-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 76 15.7 Trailing
Billy Strickland NC-01 ❓Raised doubts 76 13.6 Trailing
Ernest Reeves NC-01 ❓Raised doubts 76 1.2 Trailing
Christine E. Villaverde NC-02 ❓Raised doubts 66 55.9 ✓ Won
Mahesh “Max” Ganorkar NC-02 ❓Raised doubts 66 24.7 ✗ Lost
Greg Murphy* NC-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 75.7 ✓ Won
Tony Cowden NC-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 14.1 ✗ Lost
Eric Earhart NC-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 5.0 ✗ Lost
Brian Michael Friend NC-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 2.6 ✗ Lost
Courtney Geels NC-04 ❓Raised doubts 74 64.6 ✓ Won
Robert Thomas NC-04 ❓Raised doubts 74 35.4 ✗ Lost
Virginia Foxx* NC-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 78 76.6 ✓ Won
Michael Ackerman NC-05 ❓Raised doubts 78 23.4 ✗ Lost
Christian Castelli NC-06 ❓Raised doubts 71 36.2 Leading
Gerry Austin NC-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 71 6.0 Trailing
Marvin Boguslawski NC-06 ❓Raised doubts 71 4.0 Trailing
David Rouzer* NC-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 79.2 ✓ Won
Max Southworth-Beckwith NC-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 20.8 ✗ Lost
Richard Hudson* NC-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 68 79.4 ✓ Won
Jen Bucardo NC-09 ❓Raised doubts 68 8.6 ✗ Lost
Michael Magnotta NC-10 🚫 Denied legitimacy 70 6.4 ✗ Lost
Jeff Gregory NC-10 ❓Raised doubts 70 5.0 ✗ Lost
Chuck Edwards NC-11 ❓Raised doubts 94 33.5 ✓ Won
Madison Cawthorn* NC-11 🚫 Denied legitimacy 94 31.7 ✗ Lost
Matthew Burril NC-11 🚫 Denied legitimacy 94 9.5 ✗ Lost
Michele V. Woodhouse NC-11 🚫 Denied legitimacy 94 5.3 ✗ Lost
Kristie Sluder NC-11 🚫 Denied legitimacy 94 1.5 ✗ Lost
Tyler Lee NC-12 ❓Raised doubts 60 42.8 Leading
Nalini Joseph NC-12 ❓Raised doubts 60 22.8 Trailing
Bo Hines NC-13 🚫 Denied legitimacy 56 31.8 Leading
Renee Ellmers NC-13 ❓Raised doubts 56 8.0 Trailing
Chad Slotta NC-13 ❓Raised doubts 56 4.1 Trailing
Pat Harrigan NC-14 ❓Raised doubts 83 75.7 ✓ Won
Jason Beebe OR Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jo Rae Perkins OR Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Ibra A. Taher OR Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Court Boice OR Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Reed Christensen OR Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Brandon C. Merritt OR Gov. ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Stan Pulliam OR Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Amber R. Richardson OR Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Bill Sizemore OR Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Marc Thielman OR Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Christopher A. Mann OR-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Armidia “Army” Murray OR-01 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Mark Cavener OR-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Katherine M. Gallant OR-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Lori Chavez-DeRemer OR-05 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
John Di Paola OR-05 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Laurel L. Roses OR-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
David Russ OR-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Amy L. Ryan Courser OR-06 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Mehmet Oz PA Sen. ❓Raised doubts 78 31.2 Trailing
Kathy Barnette PA Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 78 24.2 Trailing
Carla Sands PA Sen. ❓Raised doubts 78 5.7 Trailing
Sean Gale PA Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 78 1.4 Trailing
Douglas V. Mastriano PA Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 73 44.8 ✓ Won
Lou Barletta PA Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 73 21.1 ✗ Lost
Bill McSwain PA Gov. ❓Raised doubts 73 15.4 ✗ Lost
Dave White PA Gov. ❓Raised doubts 73 8.1 ✗ Lost
Joe Gale PA Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 73 1.8 ✗ Lost
Charlie Gerow PA Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 73 1.3 ✗ Lost
Alex Entin PA-01 ❓Raised doubts 33 29.4 Trailing
Aaron Bashir PA-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 51 100.0 ✓ Won
Guy Ciarrocchi PA-06 ❓Raised doubts 67 33.8 Leading
Regina Mauro PA-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 67 14.2 Trailing
Lisa Scheller PA-07 ❓Raised doubts 64 51.7 Leading
Kevin Dellicker PA-07 ❓Raised doubts 64 48.3 Trailing
Jim Bognet PA-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 88 68.9 ✓ Won
Mike Marsicano PA-08 ❓Raised doubts 88 31.1 ✗ Lost
Dan Meuser* PA-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 83 100.0 ✓ Won
Scott Perry* PA-10 🚫 Denied legitimacy 50 100.0 ✓ Won
Lloyd K. Smucker* PA-11 🚫 Denied legitimacy 49 100.0 ✓ Won
John Joyce* PA-13 🚫 Denied legitimacy 65 100.0 ✓ Won
Guy Reschenthaler* PA-14 🚫 Denied legitimacy 56 100.0 ✓ Won
Glenn “GT” Thompson* PA-15 🚫 Denied legitimacy 84 100.0 ✓ Won
Mike Kelly* PA-16 🚫 Denied legitimacy 67 100.0 ✓ Won
Jeremy Shaffer PA-17 ❓Raised doubts 93 58.7 ✓ Won
Jason Killmeyer PA-17 ❓Raised doubts 93 24.3 ✗ Lost
Kathy Coder PA-17 ❓Raised doubts 93 17.0 ✗ Lost

*Incumbent.

Rep. Dan Bishop, who has denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election and is seeking reelection in North Carolina’s 8th Congressional District, is running uncontested so his primary has been canceled.

Candidates marked as having “denied legitimacy” of the 2020 election either explicitly said Donald Trump’s loss or the 2020 election itself was illegitimate or, if an elected official, took legal measures to try and overturn the election. Candidates marked as “raised doubts” have questioned the fairness of the 2020 election or made references to “election integrity” but have not explicitly said the election or Trump’s loss was illegitimate.

Sources: News reports, campaigns, ABC News

Nathaniel Rakich

That’s my district, Dan!


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