FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

Earlier tonight, I asked you all about whether celebrity candidates or inexperienced politicians were the next big thing, but maybe what I really should have asked about is carpetbagging politicians — those running in states or districts where they haven’t lived for a long time. We’ve got a lot of candidates that fit this bill tonight, no?

Nathaniel Rakich

We’re up to 26 percent of the expected vote reporting now in Pennsylvania’s Republican primary for governor, and Mastriano has taken the lead as more rural counties (and perhaps election day votes, though it’s hard to tell) have reported. Ironically, Mastriano railed against Biden’s come-from-behind win in Pennsylvania in 2020, yet Mastriano looks like he is charting the same path to victory tonight.
Latest count in Pennsylvania’s GOP primary for governor

Results of Pennsylvania’s Republican primary for governor, as of 9:06 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Votes Vote %
Doug Mastriano 31,749 28.6
Bill McSwain 22,088 19.9
Lou Barletta 21,964 19.8
Dave White 12,879 11.6
Melissa Hart 9,481 8.5
Jake Corman 4,567 4.1
Joe Gale 3,630 3.3
Nche Zama 2,489 2.2
Charlie Gerow 2,062 1.9

26% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Dan Hopkins

In my survey of Pennsylvanians conducted online, I am looking at the factors that distinguish Oz supporters from Barnette supporters. Oz supporters are more likely to watch Tucker Carlson, while Barnette supporters have higher incomes and are less likely to identify as Republicans.


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