FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

We’re up to 26 percent of the expected vote reporting now in Pennsylvania’s Republican primary for governor, and Mastriano has taken the lead as more rural counties (and perhaps election day votes, though it’s hard to tell) have reported. Ironically, Mastriano railed against Biden’s come-from-behind win in Pennsylvania in 2020, yet Mastriano looks like he is charting the same path to victory tonight.
Latest count in Pennsylvania’s GOP primary for governor

Results of Pennsylvania’s Republican primary for governor, as of 9:06 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Votes Vote %
Doug Mastriano 31,749 28.6
Bill McSwain 22,088 19.9
Lou Barletta 21,964 19.8
Dave White 12,879 11.6
Melissa Hart 9,481 8.5
Jake Corman 4,567 4.1
Joe Gale 3,630 3.3
Nche Zama 2,489 2.2
Charlie Gerow 2,062 1.9

26% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Dan Hopkins

In my survey of Pennsylvanians conducted online, I am looking at the factors that distinguish Oz supporters from Barnette supporters. Oz supporters are more likely to watch Tucker Carlson, while Barnette supporters have higher incomes and are less likely to identify as Republicans.

Alex Samuels

It’s still early, but it looks like Cawthorn is slowly catching up to Edwards in North Carolina’s 11th District. Right now, the incumbent trails by roughly 4 percentage points.

Latest count in North Carolina’s 11th District GOP primary

Results of the Republican primary for North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District, as of 8:59 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Votes Vote %
Chuck Edwards 21,513 35.1
Madison Cawthorn* 18,830 30.7
Matthew Burril 5,552 9.1
Rod Honeycutt 4,126 6.7
Bruce O’Connell 3,906 6.4
Wendy M. Nevarez 3,275 5.3
Michele V. Woodhouse 3,147 5.1
Kristie Sluder 919 1.5

59% of the expected vote has been reported.

*Incumbent

Source: ABC News


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