FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

Fetterman looks to have won the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania, but it’s much too early to make much of what’s happening in the GOP primary. So far, McCormick leads with 32 percent, ahead of the Trump-backed Oz with 24 percent and Barnette with about 20 percent. However, lots of rural counties haven’t reported much yet, and that’s where we might expect Oz and Barnette to do best — Oz because of Trump’s endorsement and Barnette because of her strong conservative positions.

Holly Fuong

In our FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll, 25 percent of Democrats indicated race and racism was a top issue for the country. Among all respondents, 11 percent of white voters and 42 percent of Black voters marked race and racism as one of the most important issues.

Alex Samuels

We finally have some results coming in for Pennsylvania’s 8th District! Currently, the Trump-backed Jim Bognet leads Mike Marsicano by roughly 20 percentage points. But it’s still very, very early!


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