FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

Voter enthusiasm will be important. Another group to think about is white progressive voters, who are increasingly prioritizing issues related to race and racism (albeit not always in practice).

Jacob Rubashkin

Democrats are set to nominate, what I believe, are a record number of Black candidates for U.S. Senate. Raphael Warnock in Georgia, Cheri Beasley in North Carolina, Charles Booker in Kentucky, either Krystle Mathews or Angela Geter in South Carolina, and potentially Val Demings in Florida and Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin (he’s leading in the polls right now, but that’s a late primary).

On the other hand, Republicans are set to put forward a more white, more male slate of candidates in Senate races, as my colleague Nathan Gonzales wrote about for Roll Call.

Alex Samuels

That’s a good point, Sarah, and something that’ll be super interesting to monitor this fall, especially if Barnette ends up being the GOP nominee for Senate.


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