FiveThirtyEight
Holly Fuong

Definitely something that Geoffrey and I have thought about, Kaleigh. Maybe we’ll find out more soon! 👀

Kaleigh Rogers

The idea that more extreme candidates will have a harder time winning is certainly seems to be the wisdom the Democrats still subscribe to. They’ve been boosting Mastriano and highlighting his ties to Trump to Republican voters:

That said, I feel like personality can trump ideology (pun intended) in ways the Democrats and the old wisdom might not account for.

Sarah Frostenson

On the one hand, Nate, I hear you. But I thought The Cook Political Report’s Amy Walter made a convincing argument that we might be moving toward a reality where voters prefer more unorthodox candidates. We’re certainly seeing evidence of that in the primaries. I suppose … the real test will be the general in many instances!


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