FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

Which Candidates Have Questioned The Legitimacy Of The 2020 Election?

A year and a half after the 2020 election, Trump continues to make claims that the election was fraudulent and that Biden “stole” it from him. Even though all the “evidence” supposedly backing up this claim has been summarily debunked, Trump is not alone: Many candidates up and down the ballot have endorsed Trump’s “Big Lie.”

Considering that those elected will have (varying degrees of) control over future elections, we thought it prudent to track which candidates are still baselessly questioning the last one. By our definition, that’s anyone running for Senate, House, governor, secretary of state or attorney general who has said that either Trump’s loss or the 2020 election was illegitimate or who took legal action to overturn its results. That includes incumbent members of Congress who were among the 147 Republicans who voted not to certify some of the election results, as well as more full-throated endorsements of Trump’s fraud claims.

Here’s a look at the races we’re tracking tonight. Among the candidates running for Senate, House and governor in Indiana and Ohio, we identified 25 full-blown election deniers and 11 who have questioned the 2020 election but stopped short of saying it was illegitimate:

How Big Lie supporters are doing tonight

Senate, House and governor candidates who have either denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election and its results in Indiana’s and Ohio’s
GOP primaries, as of 7:05 p.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE Big Lie Position % REPORTING VOTE SHARE STATUS
Mark Leyva IN-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0% 0.0%
Blair E. Milo IN-01 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Ben Ruiz IN-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jackie Walorski* IN-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 1 100.0
Jim Baird* IN-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Greg Pence* IN-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 7 76.8 Leading
Erin Houchin IN-09 ❓Raised doubts 4 40.7 Leading
Jim Baker IN-09 ❓Raised doubts 4 5.3 Trailing
J. Michael Davisson IN-09 ❓Raised doubts 4 2.8 Trailing
Steve Chabot* OH-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jenn Giroux OH-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
James J. Condit Jr. OH-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Lee R. Stahley OH-03 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Jim Jordan* OH-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
John Anderson OH-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Bill Johnson* OH-06 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Gregory M. Zelenitz OH-06 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Charlie Gaddis OH-07 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Max Miller OH-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jonah Schulz OH-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Warren Davidson* OH-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Beth Deck OH-09 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Theresa Gavarone OH-09 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
J.R. Majewski OH-09 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
James Hemphill OH-11 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Madison Gesiotto Gilbert OH-13 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Janet Folger Porter OH-13 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Dante N. Sabatucci OH-13 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Joe Blystone OH Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jim Renacci OH Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Mike Gibbons OH Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Josh Mandel OH Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Neil Patel OH Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Mark Pukita OH Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jane Timken OH Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
J.D. Vance OH Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0

*Incumbent.

Candidates marked as having “denied legitimacy” of the 2020 election either explicitly said Donald Trump’s loss or the 2020 election itself was illegitimate or, if an elected official, took legal measures to try to overturn the election. Candidates marked as “raised doubts” have questioned the fairness of the 2020 election or made references to “election integrity” but have not explicitly said the election or Trump’s loss was illegitimate.

Sources: News reports, campaigns, ABC News

Not all Republicans running for these offices in Indiana and Ohio back Trump’s Big Lie, though, so I’ll also be monitoring the results for the nine Republicans who have vocally accepted the 2020 election results and the four who have acknowledged Biden’s win but have still raised questions about fraud fare:

How Big Lie opponents are doing tonight

Senate, House and governor candidates who have accepted the legitimacy of the 2020 election and its results in Indiana’s and Ohio’s
GOP primaries, as of 7:05 p.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE Big Lie Position % REPORTING VOTE SHARE STATUS
Martin Lucas IN-01 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0% 0.0%
Victoria Spartz* IN-05 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
Larry D. Bucshon* IN-08 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
Todd Young* IN Sen. ✅ Accepted 2020 results 2 100.0 ✓ Won
Brad Wenstrup* OH-02 🤔 Accepted with reservations 0 0.0
Bob Latta* OH-05 🤔 Accepted with reservations 0 0.0
Phil Heimlich OH-08 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
Mike Turner* OH-10 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
Troy Balderson* OH-12 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
Santana F. King OH-13 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
David P. Joyce* OH-14 ✅ Accepted 2020 results 0 0.0
Mike DeWine* OH Gov. 🤔 Accepted with reservations 0 0.0
Matt Dolan OH Sen. 🤔 Accepted with reservations 0 0.0

*Incumbent.

Candidates marked as having “accepted 2020 results” have said Donald Trump’s loss or the 2020 election itself was legitimate. Candidates marked as “accepted with reservations” have accepted Trump’s loss and the election’s legitimacy but have still raised questions about whether there was voter fraud.

Sources: News reports, campaigns, ABC News

Finally, I’ll also be keeping an eye on candidates running for secretaries of state and attorneys general, as these positions have significant influence over how elections are administered. If a Big Lie believer wins one of these seats in a state, it could jeopardize future elections.


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