FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

Overall, the women competing tonight in both Indiana and Ohio, Democratic and Republican, have done pretty well. But just because a party is nominating more women doesn’t necessarily mean they’re prioritizing gender equality in their ranks.

It’s important to look at whether women will run in “hopeless seats” in November, which are seats where the district strongly favors the other party’s candidate. There’s plenty of evidence that in previous decades, women were more often nominated to hopeless seats than men (especially Republican women). Investment in women happens when parties support women for more competitive (or safe) seats. For the women winning tonight, Democratic and Republican, there’s a mix of both.

How female candidates are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor in Indiana and Ohio and their results in the Democratic and Republican primaries, as of 10:02 p.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE PARTY % REPORTING VOTE SHARE STATUS
Jennifer-Ruth Green IN-01 R 35% 49.3% Leading
Blair E. Milo IN-01 R 35 18.0 Trailing
Jackie Walorski* IN-02 R 53 100.0 ✓ Won
Jeannine Lee Lake IN-05 D 43 59.3 ✓ Won
Victoria Spartz* IN-05 R 63 100.0 ✓ Won
Cynthia “Cinde” Wirth IN-06 D 38 72.9 ✓ Won
Angela Grabovsky IN-07 R 32 55.1 Leading
Jennifer Pace IN-07 R 32 12.1 Trailing
Erin Houchin IN-09 R 64 36.2 Leading
Jenn Giroux OH-01 R 57 0.0 ✗ Lost
Samantha Meadows OH-02 D 34 70.5 ✓ Won
Joyce Beatty* OH-03 D 35 100.0 ✓ Won
Tamie Wilson OH-04 D 44 50.8 Leading
Shawna Roberts OH-06 D 40 31.1 Leading
Vanessa Enoch OH-08 D 23 100.0 ✓ Won
Marcy Kaptur* OH-09 D 16 100.0 ✓ Won
Theresa Gavarone OH-09 R 29 33.5 Trailing
Beth Deck OH-09 R 29 5.1 Trailing
Shontel Brown* OH-11 D 32 65.5 Leading
Nina Turner OH-11 D 32 34.5 Trailing
Amy Rippel-Elton OH-12 D 33 54.2 Leading
Emilia Sykes OH-13 D 25 100.0 ✓ Won
Madison Gesiotto Gilbert OH-13 R 38 27.1 Leading
Janet Folger Porter OH-13 R 38 17.2 Trailing
Nan Whaley OH Gov. D 80 65.1 ✓ Won
Morgan Harper OH Sen. D 79 17.0 ✗ Lost
Traci “TJ” Johnson OH Sen. D 79 12.1 ✗ Lost
Jane Timken OH Sen. R 79 6.2 ✗ Lost

*Incumbent.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News

And now, out of Trump’s endorsed candidates, the only outstanding one is Madison Gesiotto Gilbert. She’s now doing more poorly than Vance — her lead has shrunk to about 4 percentage points — and the race could narrow further, as just 54 percent of the vote has come in. But even if Gilbert doesn’t make it through, Trump can claim 11 out of 12 of his endorsees won their primaries, including the most contested race for Ohio’s Senate seat.

How Trump’s endorsees are doing tonight

Senate, House and governor candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump and their results in Indiana’s and Ohio’s
Republican primaries, as of 10:00 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Jim Banks* IN-03 50% 100.0% ✓ Won
Greg Pence* IN-06 67 77.3 ✓ Won
Steve Chabot* OH-01 57 100.0 ✓ Won
Brad Wenstrup* OH-02 44 80.5 ✓ Won
Jim Jordan* OH-04 69 100.0 ✓ Won
Bill Johnson* OH-06 40 78.2 ✓ Won
Max Miller OH-07 37 71.3 ✓ Won
Warren Davidson* OH-08 54 79.0 ✓ Won
Troy Balderson* OH-12 41 79.5 ✓ Won
Madison Gesiotto Gilbert OH-13 20 29.9 Leading
Mike Carey* OH-15 34 100.0 ✓ Won
J.D. Vance OH Sen. 79 32.2 ✓ Won

*Incumbent.

Sources: DonaldJTrump.com, news reports, ABC News

Geoffrey Skelley

Sarah, DeWine got the win, but finishing below 50 percent as an incumbent — he’s at 47 percent right now — is a very weak performance. DeWine was aided by the fact that he didn’t really get a top-tier challenger. On paper, Renacci, who lost the 2018 Senate race, might have been the candidate, but it just never came together for him. Moreover, the populist grassroots campaign of Joe Blystone split the opposition to DeWine — Renacci and Blystone have 50 percent of the vote between the two of them.


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