FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

The Associated Press has called the GOP primary in Indiana’s 9th District for state Sen. Erin Houchin. She defeats former Rep. Mike Sodrel in her second congressional run.

Geoffrey Skelley

Monica, that’s a great point that often gets missed. Even if the suburbs have shifted toward Democrats in many major metropolitan areas, they still host a ton of Republican voters. Just look at the primary results tonight for the Ohio GOP Senate race and you see that Vance finished first in some well-known suburban counties, like Delaware, north of Columbus, or Butler, north of Cincinnati.

Sarah Frostenson

It’s interesting, though, that while Trump’s pick prevailed in the Senate race, DeWine, who earned Trump’s ire in 2020, also prevailed in the race for governor. I realize Trump didn’t end up endorsing a challenger to DeWine, but I think we’re going to see mixed signals like this throughout the primaries. Still, this is clearly a win for Trump (and Trumpism) tonight.


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