FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

The Tim Ryan campaign was ready for J.D. Vance’s win tonight. They just dropped a pre-produced video in which Ryan, seated in a diner, goes after Vance as a “celebrity, CNN analyst, and a big hit at Washington cocktail parties.” I wonder how many other potential opponents they cut ads about.

Geoffrey Skelley

Absolutely, I do. I’m sure Trump will wear that feather in his cap, too. It’s not that his endorsement can move mountains, but in a crowded race with voters uncertain of where to go, Trump’s backing can make a significant difference.

Sarah Frostenson

Interesting, Geoffrey. You really think Trump’s endorsement of Vance explains his victory? There’s obviously a strong argument to be made that that was, in fact, responsible for his last-minute rise in the polls.


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