What Went Down During Ohio’s And Indiana’s Primary Elections

Absolutely, I do. I’m sure Trump will wear that feather in his cap, too. It’s not that his endorsement can move mountains, but in a crowded race with voters uncertain of where to go, Trump’s backing can make a significant difference.

Interesting, Geoffrey. You really think Trump’s endorsement of Vance explains his victory? There’s obviously a strong argument to be made that that was, in fact, responsible for his last-minute rise in the polls.

You know, Monica reminded me earlier tonight to take a look at the Senate vote and how it lines up with FiveThirtyEight’s urbanization index. And maybe Vance’s supposed hillbilly ways helped him just a tad — he did slightly better in more rural parts of the state. However, that’s not to make too much of this — there wasn’t that strong a relationship between how densely populated a county was and how well he did. I think this is the story: It was a crowded race with a handful of tenable Republican candidates, and the former president picked one, and that was enough to get him over the line. If Trump endorses Mandel, I suspect Mandel wins. If Trump endorses Gibbons, I suspect Gibbons wins.