FiveThirtyEight
Monica Potts

I know some election-watchers have felt that Vance’s positions during the Ohio Senate race were a change from his persona as the “Hillbilly Elegy” author, but I always thought the book contained a lot of anti-government sentiment, especially against government programs, and a lot of the rural resentment that Katherine J. Cramer studied. It never seemed a turn to me, just a predictable evolution.

Geoffrey Skelley

In Ohio’s Republican Senate primary, ABC News has projected that J.D. Vance will win, putting him on a collision course with Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan in the general election. Vance leads his race with 31 percent, about 7 points ahead of Josh Mandel. Vance earned Trump’s endorsement during the primary, and he will be favored to win in November in a GOP-leaning state.

Where things stand in Ohio’s GOP primary for Senate

Results of the Ohio Republican primary for the U.S. Senate, as of 9:42 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Votes Vote %
J.D. Vance 222,023 31.3
Josh Mandel 172,391 24.3
Matt Dolan 154,774 21.9
Mike Gibbons 84,789 12.0
Jane Timken 46,391 6.5
Mark Pukita 18,257 2.6
Neil Patel 9,671 1.4

71% of the expected vote has been reported.

Source: ABC News

Jacob Rubashkin

Self-funding among the losers of the GOP primary for Ohio Senate: Gibbons: $16.7 million Dolan: $10.6 million Moreno (dropped out): $3.8 million Timken: $3.5 million Total: $34.6 million I’m not an economist, but I think that’s nearing the GDP of some small nations…

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