FiveThirtyEight
Monica Potts

Amelia, yes, that could make a difference, especially in purple, highly competitive districts. But, like Kaleigh, I do see a lot of Democratic voters expressing frustration, since they have been voting for their party out of support for protecting abortion rights and it doesn’t seem to have translated into policy. Also, as you noted earlier, it could just be seen as an abstract issue people would rather avoid until it affects their lives in a dramatic way, and I don’t know if we’ll see that by November. It’s been settled law for so long, people tend not to think about it until it personally affects them.

Kaleigh Rogers

I also wonder if Democrats will really be that energized since they already voted in a Democratic-majority Congress that could have enshrined Roe as the law of the land at some point sooner than now.

Oren Oppenheim

Hello from ABC News’s political unit! Jacob, to build upon your point about Gov. DeWine and a possible lack of enthusiasm toward him, it seems like the state Democratic party is trying to capitalize on those potential pitfalls.

Ohio’s state Democratic and Republican parties have predictably opposite reactions on Twitter to DeWine’s win in the Republican gubernatorial primary. The GOP celebrated his win. But I noticed in particular that Ohio Dems tweeted that “Republicans and Democrats agree on one thing: @MikeDeWine is the wrong choice for Ohio.”

Ohio hasn’t had a Democratic governor since 2006, but it remains to be seen if the Democratic party and Whaley can indeed capitalize in November on the discontent they claim that Republicans have toward DeWine.

Of note as well, given yesterday’s seismic report on the Supreme Court’s draft opinion on abortion rights, is whether projected Democratic primary winner Nan Whaley can gain more steam now as a self-identified “genuinely pro-choice candidate.”


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