What Went Down During Ohio’s And Indiana’s Primary Elections

I agree, Kaleigh, and I also wonder if we’ll see the issue breaking along geographic lines. Support for abortion access in all, or most cases, varies a lot state to state, and so I wonder if it just further entrenches partisan divisions.

I disagree, Nathaniel. I don’t think you can avoid Roe being a major issue in the midterms if it’s overturned. But it’s a galvanizing issue on both sides, and it could just as easily bring out religious-right voters who maybe weren’t super engaged on, say, election integrity, as it will bring out Democrats. So whether it would change the outcome is a real question mark for me.

We are now up to 49 percent of the expected vote reporting in Ohio’s Republican Senate primary, where Vance continues to lead. He now sits at about 31 percent as Election Day votes have leaned a bit more his way than early voting. Mandel’s vote share has ticked up a bit too — he now sits at about 25 percent — while Dolan is back in third with roughly 22 percent. Vance is winning by doing well in most every part of the state, as he leads in most counties and is in second in most places where he doesn’t lead. With such a fragmented vote across five high-profile candidates (and seven candidates in total), that’s been good enough to put Vance in a position to win. Hard to not think Trump’s endorsement did the job, too, considering the relatively slim margins involved.

Where things stand in Ohio’s GOP primary for Senate