FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

The Republican primary in Indiana’s 1st District is up to 33 percent reporting, per the AP, and Jennifer-Ruth Green still has a commanding 51 percent to 18 percent lead over Blair Milo. Green would probably be one of Republicans’ best possibilities to defeat Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan in this district in the fall. With a FiveThirtyEight partisan lean of D+7, it’s Democratic-leaning, but not safe blue.

Jacob Rubashkin

Tim Ryan, the newly christened Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio, continues to hit on China as a main theme in his victory. speech

Geoffrey Skelley

And now we do have some early returns from Hamilton County (Cincinnati), and the results probably suggest there’s not enough out there to boost Dolan, who barely leads those returns. He’s going to need a stronger result in that major city and the other principal metro areas to catch Vance, who now leads with about 30 percent to Mandel’s 24 percent and Dolan’s 22 percent.


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