FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

We’re Tracking Election Deniers On The Ballot Tonight

All cycle long, we’ve been tracking how candidates who have denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election have fared in Republican primaries. To date, at least 37 percent (107 out of 289) of the party’s Senate, House, governor, attorney general and secretary of state nominees have rejected the outcome of the election, and an additional 15 percent (42 out of 289) have raised doubts about it without fully embracing the “Big Lie.”

Those numbers may increase tonight, as at least another 44 election deniers and 24 election questioners are running for one of those five offices today. We’ll be tracking how they do throughout the night.

How Big Lie supporters are doing tonight

Senate, House, gubernatorial, attorney general and secretary of state candidates who have either denied or questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election, and their results in Republican primaries in Colorado, Illinois, New York, Oklahoma and Utah, as of 8:25 p.m. Eastern

CANDIDATE OFFICE Big Lie Position % REPORTING VOTE SHARE STATUS
Peggy Hubbard IL Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 2% 15.9% Trailing
Matthew “Matt” Dubiel IL Sen. ❓Raised doubts 2 12.8 Trailing
Robert “Bobby” Piton IL Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 2 7.5 Trailing
Jimmy Lee Tillman II IL Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 2 3.4 Trailing
Darren Bailey IL Gov. ❓Raised doubts 2 41.6 Leading
Gary Rabine IL Gov. ❓Raised doubts 2 11.1 Trailing
David Shestokas IL AG ❓Raised doubts 2 27.3 Trailing
Eric Carlson IL-01 ❓Raised doubts 8 42.4 Leading
Geno Young IL-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 8 14.4 Trailing
Ashley Ramos IL-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 1 34.3 Trailing
Catalina Lauf IL-11 ❓Raised doubts 2 25.2 Leading
Mark Joseph Carroll IL-11 ❓Raised doubts 2 22.0 Trailing
Susan L. Hathaway-Altman IL-11 ❓Raised doubts 2 14.4 Trailing
James T. “Jim” Marter IL-14 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 22.8 Trailing
Jack Lombardi II IL-14 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 20.8 Trailing
Jaime Milton IL-14 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 11.4 Trailing
Markwayne Mullin OK Sen. (special) 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 43.4 Leading
Jackson Lahmeyer OK Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 21.1 ✗ Lost
T.W. Shannon OK Sen. (special) 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 19.0 Trailing
Luke Holland OK Sen. (special) ❓Raised doubts 6 12.6 Trailing
Nathan Dahm OK Sen. (special) 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 10.6 Trailing
Joan Farr OK Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 5.7 ✗ Lost
Scott Pruitt OK Sen. (special) 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 4.8 Trailing
Adam Holley OK Sen. (special) 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 0.5 Trailing
Mark Sherwood OK Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 12.9 ✗ Lost
Avery Frix OK-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 9 15.8 Leading
Johnny Teehee OK-02 ❓Raised doubts 9 12.5 Trailing
John Bennett OK-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 9 11.6 Trailing
Wes Nofire OK-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 9 4.7 Trailing
Dustin Roberts OK-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 9 4.5 Trailing
David Derby OK-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 9 4.2 Trailing
Pamela Gordon OK-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 9 3.8 Trailing
Frank D. Lucas* OK-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 5 65.5 Leading
Wade Burleson OK-03 ❓Raised doubts 5 27.1 Trailing
Tom Cole* OK-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 7 72.9 ✓ Won
James Taylor OK-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 7 24.2 ✗ Lost
Stephanie Bice* OK-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 6 73.5 ✓ Won
Ron Hanks CO Sen. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Greg Lopez CO Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Tina Peters CO SoS 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Jennifer Qualteri CO-01 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Lauren Boebert* CO-03 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Robert Lewis CO-04 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Ken Buck* CO-04 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Dave Williams CO-05 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Rebecca Keltie CO-05 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Doug Lamborn* CO-05 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Erik Aadland CO-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Laurel Imer CO-07 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Lori A. Saine CO-08 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Niki Conforti IL-06 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Scott R. Kaspar IL-06 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Robert “Rob” Cruz IL-06 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Chad Koppie IL-08 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Mike Bost* IL-12 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Terry Martin IL-13 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Mary Miller* IL-15 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Darin LaHood* IL-16 ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Michael Rebresh IL-16 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Andrew Giuliani NY Gov. 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Lee Zeldin NY Gov. ❓Raised doubts 0 0.0
Chris Stewart* UT-02 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0
Burgess Owens* UT-04 🚫 Denied legitimacy 0 0.0

*Incumbent.

Candidates marked as having “denied legitimacy” of the 2020 election either explicitly said Donald Trump’s loss or the 2020 election itself was illegitimate or, if an elected official, took legal measures to try and overturn the election. Candidates marked as “raised doubts” have questioned the fairness of the 2020 election or made references to “election integrity” but have not explicitly said the election or Trump’s loss was illegitimate.

Sources: News reports, campaigns, ABC News


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