FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

What We’re Watching In Mississippi Tonight

Mississippi is hosting two big Republican runoffs tonight in districts where no candidate received a majority of the vote in the state’s June 7 primary.

  • In the 3rd District, former Navy pilot Michael Cassidy got 48 percent of the vote in the primary, outpacing Rep. Michael Guest at 47 percent. Cassidy had hammered Guest for supporting a bipartisan commission to investigate the Jan. 6 attack, leading to the surprising result, but Guest won’t get caught sleeping this time: National Republicans have been spending money to help him get over the hump in the runoff.
  • In the 4th District, though, national Republicans have done no such thing, perhaps speaking volumes about what they think about Rep. Steven Palazzo. The subject of a campaign-finance scandal, Palazzo got just 32 percent of the vote in the primary. His runoff opponent, Jackson County Sheriff Mike Ezell, got just 25 percent, but all of the other Republicans from the primary have endorsed Ezell, so Palazzo is in deep trouble.

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