FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

More of the vote has come in slowly from Nebraska’s special election for its 1st District, and Republican Mike Flood’s narrow lead has grown to about 2 points, 51 percent to 49 percent, over Democrat Patty Pansing Brooks. There is still some vote outstanding, but it’s probably not going to be enough for Pansing Brooks to pull the upset. Although, if the result is close to where it is now that would represent a strong night for Democrats in a district that Trump won 54 percent to 43 percent in 2020.

Meredith Conroy

Even as more results trickle in, we still don’t know the outcome of a few key races where progressive-backed candidates are running. In Illinois’s 7th District, Kina Collins — who has support from Justice Dems, Sunrise Movement and Indivisible — is trailing Biden-backed incumbent, Danny Davis, 46 percent to 51 percent, with 65 percent of the expected vote reporting. In Illinois’s 17th District, the Indivisible and Our Revolution endorsed candidate, Litesa Wallace, is in second place with 21 percent of the vote, while meteorologist Eric Sorensen is in first place with 40 percent of the vote and 42 percent of the expected vote reporting. Jonathan Jackson is leading by 9 points in Illinois’s 1st District, with 76 percent of the expected vote reporting. Progressive- and EMILY’s List-endorsed candidate Marie Newman has lost in Illinois’s 6th District, but Delia Ramirez’s win in Illinois’s 3rd District is a big win for the Progressive Caucus.
How progressives are doing tonight

Senate, House and governor candidates endorsed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Sen. Bernie Sanders or the Sunrise Movement in Democratic primaries and runoffs in Colorado, Illinois, New York, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Utah, as of 10:55 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Joe Neguse* CO-02 81% 100.0% ✓ Won
Jonathan L. Jackson IL-01 76 28.7 Leading
Delia Ramirez IL-03 75 65.5 ✓ Won
Marie Newman* IL-06 79 29.0 ✗ Lost
Kina Collins IL-07 71 45.8 Trailing
Junaid Ahmed IL-08 45 27.9 ✗ Lost
Litesa Wallace IL-17 49 20.9 Trailing
Jumaane D. Williams NY Gov. 69 20.0 ✗ Lost

*Incumbent.

Sources: Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, PCCC, the Sunrise Movement, Twitter, news reports, ABC News

Monica Potts

With 84 percent of the expected vote in, ABC News is reporting that Erik Aadland is projected to win the Republican primary in Colorado’s 7th District. He will face state Sen. Brittany Pettersen in the fall.


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