FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

Even as more results trickle in, we still don’t know the outcome of a few key races where progressive-backed candidates are running. In Illinois’s 7th District, Kina Collins — who has support from Justice Dems, Sunrise Movement and Indivisible — is trailing Biden-backed incumbent, Danny Davis, 46 percent to 51 percent, with 65 percent of the expected vote reporting. In Illinois’s 17th District, the Indivisible and Our Revolution endorsed candidate, Litesa Wallace, is in second place with 21 percent of the vote, while meteorologist Eric Sorensen is in first place with 40 percent of the vote and 42 percent of the expected vote reporting. Jonathan Jackson is leading by 9 points in Illinois’s 1st District, with 76 percent of the expected vote reporting. Progressive- and EMILY’s List-endorsed candidate Marie Newman has lost in Illinois’s 6th District, but Delia Ramirez’s win in Illinois’s 3rd District is a big win for the Progressive Caucus.
How progressives are doing tonight

Senate, House and governor candidates endorsed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, the Progressive Change Campaign Committee, Sen. Bernie Sanders or the Sunrise Movement in Democratic primaries and runoffs in Colorado, Illinois, New York, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Utah, as of 10:55 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Joe Neguse* CO-02 81% 100.0% ✓ Won
Jonathan L. Jackson IL-01 76 28.7 Leading
Delia Ramirez IL-03 75 65.5 ✓ Won
Marie Newman* IL-06 79 29.0 ✗ Lost
Kina Collins IL-07 71 45.8 Trailing
Junaid Ahmed IL-08 45 27.9 ✗ Lost
Litesa Wallace IL-17 49 20.9 Trailing
Jumaane D. Williams NY Gov. 69 20.0 ✗ Lost

*Incumbent.

Sources: Indivisible, Justice Democrats, Our Revolution, PCCC, the Sunrise Movement, Twitter, news reports, ABC News

Monica Potts

With 84 percent of the expected vote in, ABC News is reporting that Erik Aadland is projected to win the Republican primary in Colorado’s 7th District. He will face state Sen. Brittany Pettersen in the fall.

Meredith Conroy

As I wrote earlier tonight, female candidates arguably get a small boost in political environments where “women’s issues” are top of mind, largely because they are seen as more competent on those issues than men. Of course, whether renewed attention to abortion rights is helping women tonight is difficult to know, but it’s something to keep an eye on throughout this primary season and in November. Thus far in primaries, the GOP continues to lag behind Democrats when it comes to nominating women, but that’s typical. Perhaps more interesting is that the GOP is lagging behind their 2020 numbers — according to the Center for American Women in Politics, Republican women are 18 percent of their party’s House nominees compared with 23 percent in 2020, and 7 percent of their Senate nominees compared with 26 percent in 2020. Tonight, although their overall win record is low, in at least one key race a Republican woman did well. As Maggie covered, Esther Joy King is the projected winner in Illinois’s 17th District, where she will get to run against a Democrat in an open primary, thanks to a retirement. And Republicans will nominate Heidi Ganahl for Colorado governor, to face favored incumbent Jared Polis. In Illinois’s 11th District, Catalina Lauf is leading, as is Regan Deering in Illinois’s 13th District, however, according to Cook Political Report, both of these districts favor Democrats.
How Republican women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Republican primaries and runoffs in Colorado, Illinois, Mississippi, New York, Oklahoma and Utah, as of 10:43 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Heidi Ganahl CO Gov. 80% 53.1% ✓ Won
Jennifer Qualteri CO-01 40 100.0 ✓ Won
Lauren Boebert* CO-03 95 64.1 ✓ Won
Rebecca Keltie CO-05 83 12.6 ✗ Lost
Laurel Imer CO-07 84 15.6 Trailing
Barbara Kirkmeyer CO-08 53 40.9 Leading
Jan Kulmann CO-08 53 22.8 Trailing
Lori A. Saine CO-08 53 19.6 Trailing
Kathy Salvi IL Sen. 60 30.8 Leading
Peggy Hubbard IL Sen. 60 23.7 Trailing
Philanise White IL-01 67 5.7 Trailing
Ashley Ramos IL-02 46 28.8 Trailing
Malgorzata McGonigal IL-05 59 44.7 Trailing
Niki Conforti IL-06 67 10.8 Trailing
Catherine A. O’Shea IL-06 67 9.9 Trailing
Karen Kolodziej IL-08 54 17.7 Trailing
Catalina Lauf IL-11 49 28.7 Leading
Susan L. Hathaway-Altman IL-11 49 12.3 Trailing
Cassandra Tanner Miller IL-11 49 7.2 Trailing
Andrea Heeg IL-11 49 7.0 Trailing
Regan Deering IL-13 55 35.3 Leading
Jaime Milton IL-14 64 10.3 Trailing
Mary Miller* IL-15 95 57.1 ✓ Won
JoAnne Guillemette IL-16 59 13.1 ✗ Lost
Esther Joy King IL-17 53 71.2 ✓ Won
Joan Farr OK Sen. 61 5.8 ✗ Lost
Laura Moreno OK Sen. (special) 61 1.8 Trailing
Jessica Jean Garrison OK Sen. (special) 61 1.7 Trailing
Moira McCabe OK Gov. 61 3.3 ✗ Lost
Pamela Gordon OK-02 87 3.0 Trailing
Rhonda Hopkins OK-02 87 1.7 Trailing
Stephanie Bice* OK-05 49 67.8 ✓ Won
Subrina Banks OK-05 49 32.2 ✗ Lost
Becky Edwards UT Sen. 61 32.9 ✗ Lost
Ally Isom UT Sen. 61 8.4 ✗ Lost
Tina Cannon UT-01 54 14.9 ✗ Lost
Erin Rider UT-02 56 32.8 ✗ Lost

*Incumbent.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News


Exit mobile version